Retail money-market funds inflows continued this week, and more troubling (ahead of the coming regional bank earnings), usage of The Fed's emergency funding facility jumped to a new record high over $109BN. Big banks had a good day today on earnings.
That's the not-so-rosy picture ahead of tonight's bank deposit data debacle from The Fed.
On a seasonally-adjusted basis, total deposits declined by $12.4BN (after two big weekly deposit inflows)...
Source: Bloomberg
However, on an unadjusted basis, total deposits rose $41.5BN...
Source: Bloomberg
And so, removing foreign bank flows, we see domestic banks diverging on an SA vs NSA basis once again ($41.6BN inflows NSA, $17.5BN outflows SA)...
Source: Bloomberg
On the bright side, the gap between SA and NSA deposits outflows since the SVB crisis is narrowing (only $57BN now)...
Source: Bloomberg
On the other side of the ledger, loan volumes shrank again by over $10BN with large bank loan volumes declining for the 3rd straight week...
Source: Bloomberg
The key warning sign continues to trend lower (Small Banks' reserve constraint), supported above the critical level by The Fed's emergency funds (for now)...
Source: Bloomberg
...we sure hope these banks are making plans to fill the $109BN hole in their balance sheets they are filling with expensive Fed loans.
