Jobs, jobs, jobs...
ADP's employment report showed a disappointing addition of just 122k jobs in December (worse than the +140k exp) - its lowest since August...
Source: Bloomberg
Only 3 of the 23 forecasters were lower...
Source: Bloomberg
Manufacturing saw the biggest drop in jobs as small- and mid-sized firms cut employees (which is odd since NFIB Small Business sentiment literally exploded higher after Trump's election)...
It seems the labor market ''downshifted'' right after Trump was elected?
"The labor market downshifted to a more modest pace of growth in the final month of 2024, with a slowdown in both hiring and pay gains," said Nela Richardson Chief Economist, ADP.
"Health care stood out in the second half of the year, creating more jobs than any other sector. "
As a reminder, yesterday JOLTS had the biggest two month jump in professional/business service job openings on record and now this?
Wage growth moderated some in December...
ADP looks even more ridiculous as initial jobless claims plunged to 201k last week - the lowest since Feb 2024...
Source: Bloomberg
Notably the unadjusted claims soared near one year highs.
Continuing claims ticked up but remain below the 1.9mm Maginot Line...
Source: Bloomberg
Are we really back in baffle 'em with bullshit macro data mode?
