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One Stock Proves This Market Bull Is Exhausted

Submitted by QTR's Fringe Finance

One doesn’t have to look much further than one of the market’s most popular stocks to read the tea leaves that we could be on the verge of a slowdown in markets.

If you want the full “fear-mongering” bang for your buck, you can go back and read this piece I wrote about 48 hours ago, describing why I think the next market crash—likely already well on its way—is going to break the brains of a lot of market participants.

But yesterday, the inspiration to write about one example of this supercycle peaking came to me ever so delicately, as it often does—while I was frustratedly cursing out one of my home appliances. Because nothing says “we’re at the top of a stock market supercycle” more than a balding 42-year-old man, in the midst of his 390-square-foot apartment, screaming at an inanimate object made in China out of plastic.

one stock proves this market bull is exhausted

Perhaps it is apropos that this name is one of the top names in the S&P 500 index and the NASDAQ, because its story provides a good analogue to the market overall—still generating cash and earnings but extremely aggressively valued while at the same time not showing any clear pathway for a reasonable bull case going forward.

Not unlike the tech sector as a whole, it’s difficult to map out where the next “killer” piece of hardware or software is going to come from. How will this company grow revenue again?

Because of not only its popularity but also its inclusion in almost any ETF you can imagine, the adage of “so goes this one company, so goes the market” has never seemed more appropriate than right now.

And as it relates to either… I’d be hard-pressed to find a reason to buy them here...(READ THIS FULL ARTICLE HERE). 

one stock proves this market bull is exhausted

QTR’s Disclaimer: Please read my full legal disclaimer on my About page hereThis post represents my opinions only. In addition, please understand I am an idiot and often get things wrong and lose money. I may own or transact in any names mentioned in this piece at any time without warning. Contributor posts and aggregated posts have been hand selected by me, have not been fact checked and are the opinions of their authors. They are either submitted to QTR by their author, reprinted under a Creative Commons license with my best effort to uphold what the license asks, or with the permission of the author.

This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any stocks or securities, just my opinions. I often lose money on positions I trade/invest in. I may add any name mentioned in this article and sell any name mentioned in this piece at any time, without further warning. None of this is a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I may or may not own names I write about and are watching. Sometimes I’m bullish without owning things, sometimes I’m bearish and do own things. Just assume my positions could be exactly the opposite of what you think they are just in case. If I’m long I could quickly be short and vice versa. I won’t update my positions. All positions can change immediately as soon as I publish this, with or without notice and at any point I can be long, short or neutral on any position. You are on your own. Do not make decisions based on my blog. I exist on the fringe. The publisher does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in this page. These are not the opinions of any of my employers, partners, or associates. I did my best to be honest about my disclosures but can’t guarantee I am right; I write these posts after a couple beers sometimes. I edit after my posts are published because I’m impatient and lazy, so if you see a typo, check back in a half hour. Also, I just straight up get shit wrong a lot. I mention it twice because it’s that important.

via February 25th 2025