President Trump Impacts Illegal Migration On Day One
Within an hour of President Trump's inauguration on Monday, it was clear that America's open borders status quo had ended. Prospective illegal migrants in Mexico got the news that they would no longer be transported into America's interior and given cash and other assistance, ostensibly while waiting for a hearing to adjudicate their fake asylum claims.
President Trump had ordered that tap to be shut off.
Imagine having 4 years to cross the border and you wait until the last 20 minutes.
— Harrison H. Smith ✞ (@HarrisonHSmith) January 20, 2025
If there’s one thing America does NOT need, it’s procrastinators! https://t.co/2kPAayWc40
That raises the question of whether it's possible for the Trump 2.0 administration to deport the tens of millions of illegal aliens already here. The answer to that is "yes", as Nate Hochman details in the informative thread below. Before we get to his thread, two quick market notes.
- As we noted over the weekend, last week was a good one for our top names trades: the stock we bought was up about 26% on the week; we were in-the-money on a longer term options trade on it; and we exited a weekly options trade on it for a 288% gain.
— Portfolio Armor (@PortfolioArmor) January 19, 2025
- Over the weekend, we also mentioned Cem Karsan's warning about a potential drop of 30% to 40% in stocks.
Honestly, this seems less likely in the near term, given the way Trump's second term has started. It seems more likely that Trump 2.0 will unleash animal spirits that will keep the market rolling for a while. But it probably wouldn't hurt to add a little inexpensive downside protection here.
You can download the Portfolio Armor optimal hedging app to find those inexpensive hedges by aiming your iPhone camera at the QR code below (or by tapping here, if you're reading this on your phone).
Now on to Nate Hochman's deportation thread.
We Have The Manpower And The Technology To Deport Millions Now
Trump wants the largest deportation force in history. His critics say that's too costly, complicated and cruel.
— Nate Hochman (@njhochman) January 14, 2025
They're wrong. We should start making that argument now. Support for deportations is at record highs—but once they start, the media is going to try to change that. pic.twitter.com/JDjZMn99eP
To be clear, what President Trump is aiming to do is more ambitious.
— Nate Hochman (@njhochman) January 14, 2025
As of July 2023, an estimated 11.7 million illegal aliens lived in the US. Some estimate it's far more.
To fix this decades-long crisis, Trump will have to deport more than any other president in history. pic.twitter.com/TA9V6nexE1
In 1954, America faced a crisis similar to ours: 3 million illegal aliens had crossed the border over the past few years.
— Nate Hochman (@njhochman) January 14, 2025
The farm industry was exploiting the cheap migrant labor to pay half the American wage—and they were paying off local officials to look the other way. pic.twitter.com/l43CnTws02
Powerful politicians like Sen. Lyndon Johnson (D) of Texas were in bed with influential vested interests, such as ranchers and growers, who wanted cheap migrant labor to pick their crops and tend their herds.
— Nate Hochman (@njhochman) January 14, 2025
From 1944-1954, illegal immigration from Mexico increased 6,000%. pic.twitter.com/eXk3rRL6GG
On June 17, 1954, "Operation Wetback" began. It started in California and Arizona, but by mid-July, it had extended into the rest of the interior.
— Nate Hochman (@njhochman) January 14, 2025
By the end of July, the 750 agents had caught over 50,000 illegals—and another 488,000 illegals had voluntarily fled the country. pic.twitter.com/QuTROCSLf8
Another innovation: They didn't just drop deportees at the border, where they could easily hop back across into America.
— Nate Hochman (@njhochman) January 14, 2025
They used buses, trains, planes and ships to take them more than 500 miles south into Mexico. Many were met at the border with specially chartered trains. pic.twitter.com/WmFThN3cXJ
What this shows is that large-scale mass deportations are not only possible—they become easier as you go. Once you start deporting en masse, many illegals will voluntarily leave the country.
— Nate Hochman (@njhochman) January 14, 2025
Here's what some Border Patrol veterans of Operation Wetback said in a 2006 interview: pic.twitter.com/0JQMEzhhQR
To reiterate: This was achieved with 750 agents—1/28th of the Border Patrol force today. With 1950s-era surveillance, apprehension and transportation capabilities.
— Nate Hochman (@njhochman) January 14, 2025
Mass deportations are not "impossible"—far from it. We have the tools. We just need the political will to use them.
