The New Recession Narrative - Market Opportunities

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This week’s research:

  • Tesla, Meta, Palantir, PM, AST Spacemobile

  • What to avoid: India, Small Caps

  • Mainland Chinese investors are buying this dip in Chinese tech big time.

  • Gold is being vaulted in the US at record rates.

  • Bonds are rallying on GDP weakness

 

Big Story To Monitor

Media outlets will amplify the recent GDP prediction drop from 2.3% to -1.5%, signaling a contraction due to sharp government spending cuts—which is actually positive. Don’t fall into the fear. Embrace the dip as an opportunity, as it gives the Fed cover to cut rates once or twice more this year. This is why bonds have been rallying for the last two weeks.

the new recession narrative market opportunities

 

Tesla at longterm support. Volume profile is the best indicator during large drawdowns.

the new recession narrative market opportunities

Palantir at good support here. Use the DOD “expense cutting” news as opportunity. Palantir excels at making processes more efficient and cost effective.

the new recession narrative market opportunities

Feb 3rd: “Speaking of drugs. We still like Philip Morris. Cigs.” Up 21.5% since.

the new recession narrative market opportunities

Meta’s dip is being bought up quickly.

the new recession narrative market opportunities

Continue to keep an eye on AST Spacemobile

the new recession narrative market opportunities

June 10th 2024: “Small-caps have done NOTHING since 2020 besides diminish returns. Failing to diversify.” Still trash.

the new recession narrative market opportunities

Two weeks ago we discussed the topping in coffee. Playing out.

the new recession narrative market opportunities

Avoid India. Rather own China any day of the week.

the new recession narrative market opportunities

Bitcoin Vol.

the new recession narrative market opportunities

Current state of Ethereum holders. Bitcoin over everything.

the new recession narrative market opportunities

M2 velocity rolling over. Financial conditions are tighter than investors think.

the new recession narrative market opportunities

JP Morgan delivered one of the largest shipments in history 59,296 contracts breaking the 47,132 June 2020 record during QE infinity. Something is up.

the new recession narrative market opportunities

Authored by Gmg Research via ZeroHedge March 4th 2025