By Graham Summers, MBA | Chief Market Strategist
Why isn’t the economy rolling over into recession?
Every other week, an economic metric that has historically predicted multiple recessions goes off. Between this and the stock market’s volatility, stock market bears have plenty of ammunition for arguments that a crash or bear market is about to hit.
On the flip-side of this, stocks simply refuse to break down. Every time the market appears to be on the verge of a significant collapse, stocks erupt higher. And other economic data appears to be quite strong.
As a result of this, analysts trying to make sense of this situation end up either flip flopping on their forecasts… or appearing to be perma-bears or perma-bulls: investors who simply maintain the same perspective no matter what is happening.
What’s the deal here?
The deal is that this economic cycle is unlike any other in history. In the last five years the U.S. has experienced…
1) A voluntary economic shut down (2020-2021).
2) The Federal Reserve printing and funneling $5 trillion into the financial system in the span of 20 months (2020-2022).
3) The Federal Government spending $6 trillion in stimulus/ interventions in the span of two years (2020-2022).
4) The Federal Government running the largest deficit as a percentage of GDP outside of World War II (2020-today).
This is why everything feels so messy: investors are trying to navigate not just one Black Swan (a previously never seen before phenomenon), but FOUR Black Swans. The end result is a business cycle that is truly unlike any other.
So what are investors to do?
The answer is actually simple: invest in those stocks that will benefit from this unique environment, until a quantitative market trigger signals that a bear market is about to begin.
I’m not talking about a trigger that ONLY works during normal business cycles. I’m talking about a trigger that can in fact predict Black Swan events.
And I’ve developed PRECISELY such a tool.
It signaled before legitimate Black Swans: it fired before the 1987 Crash, the Tech Crash, and the Great Financial Crisis.
I detail this investing tool, how it works, and what it’s saying about the markets today in a special investment report How to Predict a Crash.
Normally, I’d sell this report as a standalone item for $499. But I’m giving it away for FREE for the next 30 days, to anyone who joins our daily investment commentary Gains Pains & Capital.
Again, this report will ONLY be available to the general public for the next 30 days.
To pick up your copy…
Best Regards
Graham Summers, MBA
Chief Market Strategist
Phoenix Capital Research
