WTI Extends Losses As Crude Production Nears Pre-COVID Highs, SPR Build

Oil prices are modestly lower this morning, having given up overnight gains amid weakish US data which followed dismal China data.

"We continue to believe oil demand headwinds will outweigh supply cuts in the near term," warned Bloomberg's Joseph Richter

API

  • Crude -6.195mm (-1.7mm exp)

  • Cushing -1.00mm

  • Gasoline +700k (-1.2mm exp)

  • Distillates -800k (-100k exp)

DOE

  • Crude -5.96mm (-1.7mm exp)

  • Cushing -837k

  • Gasoline -262k (-1.2mm exp)

  • Distillates +296k (-100k exp)

The official DOE data confirmed API's reporting of a major Crude inventory draw last week (down around 6mm barrels - notably more than expected). Stocks at the Cushing hub fell for the 6th of the last 7 weeks...

wti extends losses as crude production nears pre covid highs spr build

Source: Bloomberg

US Crude inventories are at their lowest since January...

wti extends losses as crude production nears pre covid highs spr build

Source: Bloomberg

For the second week in a row, the Biden administration 'refilled' the SPR (adding a mere 600k barrels)...

wti extends losses as crude production nears pre covid highs spr build

Source: Bloomberg

US Crude production surged again last week - despite the decline in the rig count - up to near pre-COVID levels...

wti extends losses as crude production nears pre covid highs spr build

Source: Bloomberg

WTI was hovering around $80.80 ahead of the official data and extended losses after the print...

wti extends losses as crude production nears pre covid highs spr build

Finally, we note that retail gas (pump-prices) are at 10-month highs, and set to go further given where wholesale gasoline and crude prices are...

wti extends losses as crude production nears pre covid highs spr build

Get back to work Mr.Biden.

Authored by Tyler Durden via ZeroHedge August 16th 2023