The latest polling out of the swing state of Michigan shows former President Donald Trump burying His Fraudulency Joe Biden in a potential rematch.
Detroit News and WDIV-TV (Channel 4) surveyed 600 likely Michigan voters between January 2-6. The margin of error is plus or minus four points, and Trump leads Hunter’s Dad by a full eight points, 47 percent to 39 percent.
Dragging Biden down is his terrible job approval number. Only 35 percent of Michigan voters approve of the job Biden’s doing, while 61 percent disapprove. That puts him 26 points underwater. Biden’s favorability numbers are even worse: 29 percent favorable, 58 percent unfavorable — he’s underwater in that regard by 29 points.
The most stunning number, and by “stunning,” I mean freaken glorious, is that only 17 percent of Michiganders believe Biden deserves reelection, while a whopping 77 percent want someone else. However, 33 percent think Trump deserves a second term, while 62 percent disagree.
In a match-up that includes Trump, Biden, Green Party candidate Jill Stein, and potential Independent presidential candidate and current Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV), Biden loses 42 to 31 percent to Trump.
These numbers are not in line with what we see in other Michigan polls. In the RealClearPolitics (RCP) average poll of Michigan polls, Trump leads Slow Joe 46 percent to 40.7 percent, a 5.3-point lead. Of the last seven Michigan polls released, Trump leads in six.
As far as polling goes, this is in sharp contrast to the polling we saw out of Michigan in 2020. Out of 50 or so polls, Trump only led in five and never by more than two points.
On Election Day, the RCP average of polls showed Biden up by 4.2 points in Michigan. The actual results showed Biden winning Michigan (allegedly) by 2.8 points. Trump narrowly defeated Hillary Clinton in Michigan in 2016 by less than a half point.
It’s pretty easy and probably wise to dismiss a single poll, but Trump’s eight-point lead in the Detroit News poll is no outlier. A recent CNNLOL poll has Trump up by ten in Michigan. A recent MRG poll has Trump up by seven.
Yes, we are more than a year away, and a lot can happen between now and then, and a lot will happen. Nevertheless, there is no question that the reality of Joe Biden in 2024 is very different than the Basement Biden of 2020, when voters could pretend he wasn’t a left-wing radical, corrupt, and thisclose to becoming a real-life Weekend at Bernie’s.
And as I have said before, Trump not dominating every news cycle is undoubtedly helping him. The memory of Trump’s presidential successes is much warmer than the reality of his exhausting need to dominate every news cycle, especially in a world with a dozen news cycles a day. No one can tame Trump when it comes to this stuff. Trump is going to be Trump, and Trump has been a hundred times more successful than those of us who think we know better, so I’m not here to second-guess the man, but I’m still right.
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