Whatever you think of Donald Trump's performance during Monday's debate, or the fact that Kamala Harris didn't turn into a puddle of word salad before our very eyes, it didn't hurt the former president.
According to several post-debate polls, Trump not only gained swing voters, pollster Nate Silver projects that Trump will win the election.
🚨 BREAKING: Trump ticks back to being the 61% favorite in Nate Silver’s election model after more polls release
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 13, 2024
🔴 Trump: 61% (+22.3)
🔵 Harris: 38.7%
The model also gives Trump a 63% chance of winning PENNSYLVANIA, and a 52% chance at MICHIGAN.
Silver Bulletin | Sept. 13 pic.twitter.com/URsjPvtt9m
Meanwhile, BuzzFeed of all outlets saw a 5-point delta in Trump's favor with undecideds.
🚨 Buzzfeed finds Trump leads with undecideds by 5 points post-debate, improves from pre-debate. WOW.
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 13, 2024
PRE-TO-POST DEBATE:
🔴 Trump 39% ➡️ 42% [+3]
🔵 Harris 36% ➡️ 37% [+1]
🟡 Still undecided: 21% pic.twitter.com/5Pa8ZooLHX
And in the key swing state of Michigan, more voters switched from Harris to Trump after the debate.
🚨 BREAKING: MICHIGAN poll finds more voters switched from Harris to Trump after the debate
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 13, 2024
🔴 To Trump: 5% (+2)
🔵 To Harris: 3%
🟡 No switch: 90%
🟠 Unsure: 2%
Mitchell | Sept. 10 | N=600LV pic.twitter.com/2ybhFjgO4H
What's going on here? We were reliably told it was over for Trump.
