'Largest Downside Risk' To Stocks: Nomura Fears "Animal Spirits" Will Force "Dovish Trifecta" Off-Course

The last week or so has seen a tactical 'hawkish' reversion in USTs and STIRs to play for a re-pricing lower in March rate-cut expectations, following the recent 'hard-data resiliency' with Consumer and Labor, alongside modestly “hawkish” rhetoric (despite soft data weakness)...

largest downside risk to stocks nomura fears animal spirits will force dovish trifecta off course

And, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott highlights this morning, we are also seeing new upside being bot in SOFR Options for "dovish outcome"-hedging again, with Core PCE looming later this week.

Authored by Tyler Durden via ZeroHedge January 23rd 2024