Four Pre-Debate Trades

With Kamala's lead in the polls shrinking or even flipping back to a deficit according to the NYT, and Trump again running away from Kamala Harris in far more accurate betting markets (which unlike rigged polls aren't 10% oversampled in favor of Democrats), and certainly in Nate Silver's models, where Trump just hit a new high probability (63.8%) of winning the electoral college...

four pre debate trades

... the debate this coming Tuesday could be Trump's chance to seal the deal, as he did two months ago when he steamrolled the vegetable pretending to still be in charge of the country. But even if there is no clear winner, the debate will be an inflection point in either direction for the US election, and for those looking to make a buck from Tuesday's main event, here are some trade recommendations from Goldman's head of thematic investing, Louis Miller (full note available to pro subs).

via September 8th 2024