Yield-Curve Dis-Inverts After 'Cool' PPI, Bullion & Bond Prices Bounce

'Cooler-than-expected' PPI apparently trumps 'hotter-than-expected' CPI and the markets are reacting 'dovishly' with rate-cut expectations soaring.

The odds of a March rate-cut have jumped back up to over 75%...

yield curve dis inverts after cool ppi bullion bond prices bounce

And the market now expects 160bps of cuts in 2024...

yield curve dis inverts after cool ppi bullion bond prices bounce

2Y yields tumbled to 8-month lows...

yield curve dis inverts after cool ppi bullion bond prices bounce

Which has forced a dis-inversion of the (2s30s) yield curve..

yield curve dis inverts after cool ppi bullion bond prices bounce

For the first time since October...

yield curve dis inverts after cool ppi bullion bond prices bounce

And gold is bouncing too...

yield curve dis inverts after cool ppi bullion bond prices bounce

Ugly-ish bank earnings data makes the case even stronger for The Fed to start cutting in March - as we detailed here and here - and PPI is just the icing on the cake.

Authored by Tyler Durden via ZeroHedge January 12th 2024